Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 10.853337 12.059339 13.357710 14.861686 16.558647 18.417235 20.611280
2025-08-17 8.795941 10.416000 12.288893 14.623416 17.468218 20.838360 25.157061
2025-08-24 7.399551 9.233866 11.483419 14.465988 18.347565 23.270131 30.052577
2025-08-31 6.417924 8.371493 10.890631 14.413068 19.268059 25.807561 35.424447
2025-09-07 5.804761 7.872619 10.660291 14.748315 20.683491 29.132052 42.332282
2025-09-14 5.180014 7.263063 10.180367 14.638785 21.413182 31.539720 48.245029
2025-09-21 4.618491 6.666518 9.632239 14.333100 21.771859 33.392275 53.534817
2025-09-28 4.200398 6.226161 9.251029 14.210311 22.360965 35.632491 59.746497
2025-10-05 3.991066 6.072725 9.276852 14.709885 23.985554 39.737160 69.772156
2025-10-12 3.793687 5.913584 9.269670 15.142081 25.533396 43.897411 80.571780
2025-10-19 3.551185 5.656018 9.073119 15.223817 26.466524 47.072151 90.017358
2025-10-26 3.296048 5.352598 8.768167 15.076479 26.955285 49.471066 98.300170
2025-11-02 3.043356 5.036961 8.422705 14.836760 27.276296 51.660257 106.702410
2025-11-09 2.813631 4.741483 8.085902 14.577675 27.530980 53.763026 115.344879
2025-11-16 2.621458 4.495394 7.814031 14.410447 27.944852 56.250252 125.346849
2025-11-23 2.463831 4.297546 7.611076 14.352671 28.571427 59.275323 137.222415
2025-11-30 2.371572 4.210843 7.605421 14.683763 30.055485 64.403237 155.361079
2025-12-07 2.232925 4.025776 7.395562 14.573513 30.563767 67.381448 168.592526
2025-12-14 2.084436 3.810194 7.107710 14.268750 30.596082 69.237990 179.196275
2025-12-21 1.969379 3.650107 6.915319 14.146283 31.027140 72.119104 193.287560
2025-12-28 1.927590 3.630385 7.002745 14.643170 32.980340 79.122421 221.064696
2026-01-04 1.880830 3.596739 7.058018 15.073083 34.829241 86.167471 250.776358
2026-01-11 1.804392 3.496759 6.965774 15.154362 35.819028 91.075158 274.948465